Table of Contents:
With so many markets and opportunities for the bettors around the sports betting world, it is sometimes really hard to find the best potential strategy and the best possible market to find the edge against the bookies. In our previous articles, we wrote about totals markets and two Over/Under strategies that can be profitable and in this article, we will write about one interesting Asian Handicap strategy.
Asian Handicap Strategy – Fading the Favorites
Asian Handicap market is one of the most popular markets in the past few years as it has many benefits and when it is used in the right way, can be really profitable in the long run. If you are a novice sports bettor and you don’t know what the Asian Handicap is, we strongly suggest reading our article about the basic rules of this interesting market. That article can be read here.
This Asian Handicap is made for the football market, but can also be used in basketball as well, with some adjustments.
Research is crucial
To use this strategy correctly, you will need to do the extensive research and to find the perfect bets. It will take some time to learn all the basic tips and tricks, but once when you master all the steps, it will take you only a few minutes to find the best possible opportunity for your bet.
First, you will need to make a shortlist of all “strong” teams that play in big leagues. This is important because this strategy doesn’t work well in smaller leagues where strong teams are really strong, and weak teams don’t have the power to make a surprise. So we suggest you look for the potential teams in Top European leagues
Top 5 European leagues:
- England Premier League,
- Germany Bundesliga,
- Italian Serie A,
- Spanish La Liga
- French League 1
Also, from those leagues, it is easy to find a lot of information before the games, and you will be able to have an extensive knowledge every week about possible injuries and suspensions of key players from all teams. To find those information’s use some of the really good websites that cover that area of sports betting.
Once when you made a shortlist of leagues and favorable teams from those leagues it is time to research a bit more. Try to figure out style and tactics that teams prefer to play. For example, Pep Guardiola loves to play offensive football, and his Manchester City side often wins games with 2 or more goals difference, while Atletico Madrid tends to win a lot of games, but most of their games finish with 1-0 or 2-1 result. That way you will be able to find teams that win a lot of games, but don’t tend to demolish their opponents often.
The Next Step
Now it is time to find the best possible odds. The main thing about this strategy is to find a high Asian line that is expected not to be covered from a team that is a favorite in that game. Best way to explain this is with an example.
We will take the game between Atletico Madrid and Girona from Spanish La Liga.
In that game, Atletico Madrid is a firm favorite with -1.5 Asian Handicap. As we already wrote Atletico Madrid isn’t the team that tends to score a lot of goals, and they are strong defensively. That’s why this game is perfect for our strategy. Take the Girona with +1.5 Asian Handicap and expect them not to lose with more than one goal difference.
You will be surprised how many times heavy favorites don’t cover the spread in Asian Handicap. All of those big teams play League, European Competition and Cup Competitions and during the season they have a lot of games where they win, but they don’t score a lot of goals or win with high margin.
Conclusion
This is a long-term strategy that showed a lot of success in the past few seasons. If you pick the teams to follow wisely, you will be able to make a consistent profit every single week, just fading the favorites in Asian Handicap Market. Believe me, bookies hate to see smart punters that play with their head and not with their heart.
