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In the world of sports betting, many strategies are profitable, and there are even more strategies that are not profitable in the long run. Most important factor when you look at some sports betting strategy should be a long-term return of investment (ROI). ROI determines if some strategy is good or not to be implemented regularly.
Two Favorites and a Draw Betting Strategy
Today we will talk about one not so famous or popular betting strategy. Nevertheless, this strategy made me a lot of profit over the past several seasons, and it is fair to say that this strategy works like a charm.
You don’t need to have advanced knowledge of betting markets for this strategy, you don’t need to have good mathematical skills neither. All you need to do is to do a bit of research and to start building a nice steady profit betting on football.
This strategy is designed only for football games and can’t be implemented in any other sport.
Finding the two Favorites
The first thing you need to do is to find several teams that regularly win games during the season. Those teams are not hard to find, as in almost every single league you have teams that are really strong and that win more than 60% of their games during the season.
Of course, here you need to be smart. Sure, it is evident that Manchester City is the dominant team in the Premier League at the moment, but Premier League is a really competitive league, and surprises happen all the time. I suggest you look for the favorites in less obvious leagues, where teams don’t make surprises often. Perfect leagues for that are Portugal Primeira Liga where we have Porto and Benfica, Holland First League with FC Ajax and PSV Eindhoven, Ukranian League with Shakhtar and Bolivian League with Bolivar and The Strongest. Those teams regularly win in their domestic leagues, and they are perfect teams for our strategy.
Here are team performances from the last season:
FC Porto won 83% of the games
Benfica won 74% of the games
FC Ajax won 74% of the games
PSV won 76% of the games, etc.
Now when you have your list of favorite teams, it is time for the second step.
Finding the best Draw teams
The second part of the research is to find the teams and the leagues where are many draws. That is not a hard task as many websites on the internet that have that kind of information.
This season for example leagues with most draws are Iran, Morocco, India, France National League, etc.
Make a list of those leagues and start making the shortlist of games that you think are worth playing.
Making the Bet Slip
Now when you have all the ingredients, it is time to cook the perfect meal. For example, you found ten games that are suitable for a draw game. You will make ten different bet slips, all with the same stake.
On every single stake, there will be two favorites + one game expected to end in a draw.
Example:
FC Porto to win (1.25)
FC Ajax to win (1.30)
Le Mans – Laval, Draw (2.80)
This treble will give you combined odds of 1.25 x 1.30 x 2.80 = 4.55
After you make ten of those bet slips with FC Porto and FC Ajax to win plus one draw it is time to wait for the games to end.
Expected Results
Several things can happen.
If one of your favorite teams fails to win the game, you will lose all of your money. That will happen for sure, but as we said earlier, you will pick the teams that win in more than 75% of the games during the season.
If there is no draw game in among the ten predicted draw games, you will lose all of your money also.
But if you hit two draws or more, you will win big! Predicted return on those occasions is really huge. That’s why this strategy is so good. Even if you missed 6 draws from 10 games, you would be in big plus at the end of the day.
With this strategy, it is essential to be consistent and not to lose your head if the bad run occurs. Have faith, and you will make a nice profit from sports betting.
